<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!--Generated by Squarespace Site Server v5.11.81 (http://www.squarespace.com/) on Sun, 12 Feb 2012 14:12:28 GMT--><feed xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"><title>Trading Blog</title><subtitle>Trading Blog</subtitle><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/</id><link rel="alternate" type="application/xhtml+xml" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/"/><link rel="self" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/atom.xml"/><updated>2012-02-10T11:42:52Z</updated><generator uri="http://www.squarespace.com/" version="Squarespace Site Server v5.11.81 (http://www.squarespace.com/)">Squarespace</generator><entry><title>China Post E-Commerce (8041 HK) Growth model of fashion brand management</title><category term="8041"/><category term="China Post E-Commerce"/><category term="media"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/2/10/china-post-e-commerce-8041-hk-growth-model-of-fashion-brand.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/2/10/china-post-e-commerce-8041-hk-growth-model-of-fashion-brand.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-02-10T08:27:21Z</published><updated>2012-02-10T08:27:21Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">to summarize&hellip;</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Emergence as fashion brand management platform since 2011</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Manage brands Angevil, Lamborghini, Gay Giano, Cour Carre and Due G</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Expecting to turn around in 2012 on strong retail and swimwear arm</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Further organic growth and M&amp;A growth in HK luxury retail market</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Currently trading at 0.9x pre-derivative P/B 1H FY12/11A</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Sino Gas and Energy (SEH.AU) Gas &amp; Energy highly promoted by central government</title><category term="Oil and Gas"/><category term="SEH.AU"/><category term="Sino Gas"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/2/3/sino-gas-and-energy-sehau-gas-energy-highly-promoted-by-cent.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/2/3/sino-gas-and-energy-sehau-gas-energy-highly-promoted-by-cent.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-02-03T08:41:54Z</published><updated>2012-02-03T08:41:54Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">to summarize&hellip;</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Sino Gas and Energy, is an ASX listed company, operating Coalbed&nbsp;Methane (CBM) projects in Shanxi China. CBM is a new form of clean&nbsp;energy highly supported by the central government.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Series of favourable policies are announced to support and accelerate&nbsp;development of CBM segment. For example, VAT rebate, subsidies and&nbsp;construction of large scale pipelines.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Distinct geological advantage: combination of shallow and deep CBM&nbsp;reservoirs. High gas rates from deep CBM project, with potential to speed&nbsp;up gas production via shallow CBM projects.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> Moving toward production stage. Number of wells will be more than triple&nbsp;as compared to FY2011.</div>
<p><span id="_mce_tmp">XX</span></p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Ming Fai International (3828 HK) Latest corporate announcement</title><category term="3828"/><category term="Industrial"/><category term="Ming Fai International"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/20/ming-fai-international-3828-hk-latest-corporate-announcement.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/20/ming-fai-international-3828-hk-latest-corporate-announcement.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-01-20T10:09:59Z</published><updated>2012-01-20T10:09:59Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">to summarize&hellip;</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> On January 16th, 2012, the group announced profit warning for the year ended&nbsp;31 December 2011. The decrease is attributed to increasing in cost pressures&nbsp;in the PRC, disappointing sales from the new retail business: 7 Magic. The new&nbsp;laundry business and everyBody Labo brand continues to record losses.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> We believe that sales for the hotel and airline business should continue to have&nbsp;strong growth, but profit will be hurt from higher operating costs. Gross margin&nbsp;at the end of 1H FY06/11A is around 24%, down from 27% at the end of&nbsp;FY2010A. We estimate that there&rsquo;s a chance for full year gross margin to be&nbsp;around twenty percent.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> We estimate that 7 Magic should have approximately 1,700 shops by the end&nbsp;of FY12/11F. 2H FY12/11F performance was disappointing due to economic&nbsp;slowdown and increased in operating cost, thus may fall short of the&nbsp;management previous expectation.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> We revised our revenue for FY12/11F to be HK$1,376.8m from HK$1,429.4m,&nbsp;a 27% YoY increase. With HK$1,169.6m contribution from the hotel and&nbsp;airlines amenities business and HK$198.4m contribution from the retail&nbsp;business. We forecast net profit to be HK$78.0m for FY12/11F, representing a</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">29% YoY decrease.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste"> We maintain our coverage with a Hold recommendation at a target price of&nbsp;HK$1.30. Our target price represents 8.5x FY12/12F P/E and 6.3x FY12/13F&nbsp;P/E.</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Techcomp (1298 HK) M&amp;A opportunities ahead</title><category term="1298"/><category term="Industrial"/><category term="Techcomp"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/13/techcomp-1298-hk-ma-opportunities-ahead.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/13/techcomp-1298-hk-ma-opportunities-ahead.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-01-13T09:15:32Z</published><updated>2012-01-13T09:15:32Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">To summarize&hellip;</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- The analytical and laboratory instruments market in China is expected to become a US$3.5b market by 2014 (09-14 CAGR 8.3%)</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- The market may potentially grow at a greater pace given China's increasing focus on food health and safety quality, improvements in the manufacturing</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">quality control and environmental regulations</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Techcomp is a leading company in this segment since establishing in 1991. It has been growing at a 20% CAGR from 2002 and 2010 and is now exploring</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">ways to accelerate this growth going forward</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Company already has a footprint in the European market and is looking at opportunities for further strategic acquisitions in the US (to establish footprint)</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">or Europe (to strengthen presence)</div>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Sanjiang Chemicals (2198 HK) Largest private EO producer in China</title><category term="2198"/><category term="Sanjiang Chemicals"/><category term="chemical"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/11/sanjiang-chemicals-2198-hk-largest-private-eo-producer-in-ch.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/11/sanjiang-chemicals-2198-hk-largest-private-eo-producer-in-ch.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-01-11T10:34:37Z</published><updated>2012-01-11T10:34:37Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">To summarize&hellip;</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- 3rd largest producer with 20% production market share in China in a&nbsp;concentrated space (top 3 producers account for 85% of production). Sanjiang&nbsp;is the largest private enterprise producing EO in China.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Entry barriers are extremely high. New entrants need to have minimum&nbsp;production capacity of 200,000MT, requiring significant upfront investment.&nbsp;</div>
<div>- All EO produced in China are sold in advance. There is a demand/supply gap&nbsp;of around 30%. This supply gap is presently met by importing of downstream&nbsp;surfactant products, which is cost ineffective.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Continuing growth in demand expected. According to management, China&nbsp;currently produces around 300 products which uses downstream surfactants.&nbsp;In contrast, the US/Europe produces around 3,000 applications.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Stock is depressed due to market conditions and exit of pre-IPO investors post&nbsp;listing.</div>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Tianjin TEDA (8189 HK) A fertilizer play diversifying into healthcare products</title><category term="8189"/><category term="Agriculture"/><category term="Tianjin TEDA"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/10/tianjin-teda-8189-hk-a-fertilizer-play-diversifying-into-hea.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/10/tianjin-teda-8189-hk-a-fertilizer-play-diversifying-into-hea.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-01-10T05:57:55Z</published><updated>2012-01-10T05:57:55Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">to summarize&hellip;</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;Tianjin TEDA engages in the development and sales of biological compound&nbsp;fertilizer products, medical and health products.</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;Last reported earnings was for nine month ended FY09/11A. Revenue&nbsp;increased 29.9% YoY to RMB425.0m. Gross profit increased 39.9% YoY to&nbsp;RMB78.6m. Profit for the period increased 3.8x YoY to RMB11.7m. Gross profit&nbsp;margin increased 1.3pcp YoY to 18.5%. Net profit margin increased 0.8pcp</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">YoY to 1.8%.&nbsp;</div>
<div>- &nbsp;The sales of fertilizer products amounted to RMB347.8m accounted for 81.8%&nbsp;of total sales, a decrease from 82.2%. The health products business amounted&nbsp;to RMB77.2m accounted for 18.2 % of the sales, an increased from 17.8%.&nbsp;- &nbsp;On June 17th 2011, the group announced that they have entered into an&nbsp;acquisition agreement to acquire the 25% equity interest in Tianjin Alpha&nbsp;Healthcare Product for a cash consideration of RMB4.6m (~HK$5.54m).</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;The counter is currently trading at 71.1x current year fwd P/E on consensus.&nbsp;The Hong Kong listed fertilizer producers are currently trading at average 19.5x&nbsp;FY12/11F P/E and 13.7x FY12/12F P/E based on market consensus.</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Leoch International (842 HK) Weakened competition for growing demand (Buy)</title><category term="842"/><category term="Industrial"/><category term="Leoch Int'l"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/6/leoch-international-842-hk-weakened-competition-for-growing.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/6/leoch-international-842-hk-weakened-competition-for-growing.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-01-06T01:40:02Z</published><updated>2012-01-06T01:40:02Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">Investment summary</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Leoch is a vertically integrated lead acid battery producer in China</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Leoch is in the progress of facilities upgrades to better manage lead emissions</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Generally environmental compliant to benefit from consolidation esp. in 2012</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Current expansion plan gradually rolling out between 2011 and 2013</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- China producers are gradually replacing suppliers from developed markets</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Broad range of lead acid battery products minimizing sector volatility</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Attractive valuation at 6.9x 2011F P/E on our estimates. Initiate BUY rating</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Ming Fai International (3828 HK) Latest corporate announcement</title><category term="3828"/><category term="Industrial"/><category term="Ming Fai International"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/6/ming-fai-international-3828-hk-latest-corporate-announcement.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/6/ming-fai-international-3828-hk-latest-corporate-announcement.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-01-06T01:29:51Z</published><updated>2012-01-06T01:29:51Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">Latest announcement: On January 3, 2012, the group announced the proposed</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">buyback of 8.5% issued share capital of All Team. All Team is a wholly owned</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">subsidiaries of the Group.</div>]]></content></entry><entry><title>China Oriental Culture (2371HK) One-stop media solution provider</title><category term="2371"/><category term="China Oriental Culture"/><category term="media"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/6/china-oriental-culture-2371hk-one-stop-media-solution-provid.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2012/1/6/china-oriental-culture-2371hk-one-stop-media-solution-provid.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2012-01-06T01:26:20Z</published><updated>2012-01-06T01:26:20Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">to summarize&hellip;</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Spent almost 4 years on business restructuring to complete repositioning</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Strong background to capture growth in media &amp; entertainment opportunities</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Major contribution from digital TV business in Hunan in 2012</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Advertising outdoor billboards in core area such as Xindan and Wangfujing</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Entering into highway billboard, press and entertainment businesses</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- Unique one-stop media solution business model at 0.7x P/B 1H FY12/11A</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry><entry><title>HL Technology (1087 HK) Yet to wait for market recovery</title><category term="1087 HK"/><category term="HL Tech"/><category term="Industrial"/><id>http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2011/12/30/hl-technology-1087-hk-yet-to-wait-for-market-recovery.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.vayue.com/trading-blog/2011/12/30/hl-technology-1087-hk-yet-to-wait-for-market-recovery.html"/><author><name>VAYUE.com Team</name></author><published>2011-12-30T09:20:14Z</published><updated>2011-12-30T09:20:14Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-GB"><![CDATA[<div id="_mcePaste">to summarize&hellip;</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;Q4 orders not as strong as previously expected</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;Further slight margin squeeze in 2H 2011 on weak market demand</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;Downward revision of numbers for 2011</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;HL Tech remains fundamentally strong and positions for recovery in 2012</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;Expect to receive more additional orders from new tenders and new clients</div>
<div id="_mcePaste">- &nbsp;Remove reference target price due to removal of this rating class</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>]]></content></entry></feed>
