OUR TOP CALLS

Trading List (Px at 4 May)

Comtec (0712 HK, HK$4.28)
HL Tech (1087 HK, HK$2.40)
Tongda (0698 HK, HK$0.38)
Ecogreen (2341 HK, HK$2.63)
Solagiga (0757 HK, HK$2.36)

Watch List (4 May 2011)

Fong's (0641 HK, HK$4.98)
Boer Pwr (1685 HK, HK$8.15)
Truly (0732 HK, HK$1.49)
Ming Fai (3828 HK, HK$2.29)
NewOcean (0342 HK, HK$1.54)
Leoch Int'l (0842 HK, HK$3.80)
Costin NM (2228 HK, HK$5.03)

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Friday
Feb102012

China Post E-Commerce (8041 HK) Growth model of fashion brand management 

to summarize…
 Emergence as fashion brand management platform since 2011
 Manage brands Angevil, Lamborghini, Gay Giano, Cour Carre and Due G
 Expecting to turn around in 2012 on strong retail and swimwear arm
 Further organic growth and M&A growth in HK luxury retail market
 Currently trading at 0.9x pre-derivative P/B 1H FY12/11A

 

China Post E-Commerce (8041 HK) Growth model of fashion brand management

Friday
Feb032012

Sino Gas and Energy (SEH.AU) Gas & Energy highly promoted by central government 

to summarize…
 Sino Gas and Energy, is an ASX listed company, operating Coalbed Methane (CBM) projects in Shanxi China. CBM is a new form of clean energy highly supported by the central government.
 Series of favourable policies are announced to support and accelerate development of CBM segment. For example, VAT rebate, subsidies and construction of large scale pipelines.
 Distinct geological advantage: combination of shallow and deep CBM reservoirs. High gas rates from deep CBM project, with potential to speed up gas production via shallow CBM projects.
 Moving toward production stage. Number of wells will be more than triple as compared to FY2011.

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Sino Gas and Energy (SEH.AU) Gas & Energy highly promoted by central government

Friday
Jan202012

Ming Fai International (3828 HK) Latest corporate announcement 

to summarize…
 On January 16th, 2012, the group announced profit warning for the year ended 31 December 2011. The decrease is attributed to increasing in cost pressures in the PRC, disappointing sales from the new retail business: 7 Magic. The new laundry business and everyBody Labo brand continues to record losses.
 We believe that sales for the hotel and airline business should continue to have strong growth, but profit will be hurt from higher operating costs. Gross margin at the end of 1H FY06/11A is around 24%, down from 27% at the end of FY2010A. We estimate that there’s a chance for full year gross margin to be around twenty percent.
 We estimate that 7 Magic should have approximately 1,700 shops by the end of FY12/11F. 2H FY12/11F performance was disappointing due to economic slowdown and increased in operating cost, thus may fall short of the management previous expectation.
 We revised our revenue for FY12/11F to be HK$1,376.8m from HK$1,429.4m, a 27% YoY increase. With HK$1,169.6m contribution from the hotel and airlines amenities business and HK$198.4m contribution from the retail business. We forecast net profit to be HK$78.0m for FY12/11F, representing a
29% YoY decrease.
 We maintain our coverage with a Hold recommendation at a target price of HK$1.30. Our target price represents 8.5x FY12/12F P/E and 6.3x FY12/13F P/E.

 

Ming Fai International (3828 HK) Latest corporate announcement

Friday
Jan132012

Techcomp (1298 HK) M&A opportunities ahead 

To summarize…
- The analytical and laboratory instruments market in China is expected to become a US$3.5b market by 2014 (09-14 CAGR 8.3%)
- The market may potentially grow at a greater pace given China's increasing focus on food health and safety quality, improvements in the manufacturing
quality control and environmental regulations
- Techcomp is a leading company in this segment since establishing in 1991. It has been growing at a 20% CAGR from 2002 and 2010 and is now exploring
ways to accelerate this growth going forward
- Company already has a footprint in the European market and is looking at opportunities for further strategic acquisitions in the US (to establish footprint)
or Europe (to strengthen presence)

Techcomp (1298 HK) M&A opportunities ahead

Wednesday
Jan112012

Sanjiang Chemicals (2198 HK) Largest private EO producer in China 

To summarize…
- 3rd largest producer with 20% production market share in China in a concentrated space (top 3 producers account for 85% of production). Sanjiang is the largest private enterprise producing EO in China.
- Entry barriers are extremely high. New entrants need to have minimum production capacity of 200,000MT, requiring significant upfront investment. 
- All EO produced in China are sold in advance. There is a demand/supply gap of around 30%. This supply gap is presently met by importing of downstream surfactant products, which is cost ineffective.
- Continuing growth in demand expected. According to management, China currently produces around 300 products which uses downstream surfactants. In contrast, the US/Europe produces around 3,000 applications.
- Stock is depressed due to market conditions and exit of pre-IPO investors post listing.

Sanjiang Chemicals (2198 HK) Largest private EO producer in China